What Have the Kagans Been Wrong About Now?

And now another episode of "America's First Family of War-Whoring".

In today's episode Fred, the author of "the Surge" comes out against alternatives to the Surge by continuing to ignore reality and praising his mighty brain (as opposed to his awesome goiter):

Since then, the situation has changed significantly. Sectarian violence has dropped considerably as a result of the changed strategy...

HUZZAH!

Meanwhile, in reality:

(Reuters) - The number of civilians killed in Iraq jumped to nearly 2,000 in May, the highest monthly toll since the start of a U.S.-backed security crackdown in February, according to figures released on Saturday.

In our next episode, Kim Kagan emerges "Alien-like" from Fred's jowls.

UPDATE:

And the Surge gets "splurgier":

The number of unidentified corpses discovered in Baghdad soared more than 70 percent during May, according to new statistics from the Iraqi Ministry of Interior, an indication that sectarian killings are rising sharply as militias return to the streets after lying low during the first few months of the troop “surge.”

In May, 726 unidentified bodies were found in Baghdad, many bound and shot in the head or showing signs of torture and execution, compared with 411 during April, according to figures provided by a ministry official who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to release the information.